Year
2023
Authors
CHARLOT Olivier, VRANCEANU Radu, NAIDITCH Claire
Abstract
This paper1 develops a matching model a la Pissarides (2000) to analyze the smuggling market for forced migrants, building on the empirical evidence related to the smuggling of migrants from the Horn of Africa and the Middle East to the European region in the last decade. Comparative statics for the equilibrium solution reveals that coercion-based measures targeting the smugglers achieve a reduction in the number of irregular migrants and smugglers at the expense of migrants’ overall welfare. Slightly increasing legal migration opportunities has the interesting feature of reducing irregular flows, without deteriorating migrants’ welfare nor increasing the total number of migrants. An extremely restrictive asylum policy has similar effects in terms of the flows of irregular migrants as a quite loose one, with the largest flows of irregular migrants reached for a “middle-range” policy.
CHARLOT, O., NAIDITCH, C. et VRANCEANU, R. (2023). Smuggling of Forced Migrants to Europe: A Matching Model. WP 2309, ESSEC Business School.