TERRA Cristina, HUANG S.
East Asian and Latin American economies present opposite exchange rate electoral cycles: exchange rates tend to be more depreciated before and appreciated after elections among East Asian economies, while the opposite is true in Latin America. We propose an explanation for these empirical findings where the driving force of the opposite exchange rate populism in these two regions is their difference in the relative size of tradable and non-tradable sectors, coupled with the distributive effect of exchange rates.
HUANG, S. et TERRA, C. (2016). Exchange Rate Populism. Economics and Politics, 28(1), pp. 105-132.