Essec\Faculty\Model\Contribution {#2233
#_index: "academ_contributions"
#_id: "14844"
#_source: array:26 [
"id" => "14844"
"slug" => "cross-temporal-forecast-reconciliation-at-digital-platforms-with-machine-learning"
"yearMonth" => "2024-06"
"year" => "2024"
"title" => "Cross-temporal forecast reconciliation at digital platforms with machine learning"
"description" => "ROMBOUTS, J., TERNES, M. et WILMS, I. (2024). Cross-temporal forecast reconciliation at digital platforms with machine learning. <i>International Journal of Forecasting</i>, In press."
"authors" => array:3 [
0 => array:3 [
"name" => "ROMBOUTS Jeroen"
"bid" => "B00469813"
"slug" => "rombouts-jeroen"
]
1 => array:1 [
"name" => "Ternes Marie"
]
2 => array:1 [
"name" => "Wilms Ines"
]
]
"ouvrage" => ""
"keywords" => array:5 [
0 => "Hierarchical time series"
1 => "Forecast reconciliation"
2 => "Machine learning"
3 => "Cross-temporal aggregation"
4 => "Demand forecasting"
]
"updatedAt" => "2024-10-31 13:51:19"
"publicationUrl" => "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2024.05.008"
"publicationInfo" => array:3 [
"pages" => null
"volume" => "In press"
"number" => null
]
"type" => array:2 [
"fr" => "Articles"
"en" => "Journal articles"
]
"support_type" => array:2 [
"fr" => "Revue scientifique"
"en" => "Scientific journal"
]
"countries" => array:2 [
"fr" => null
"en" => null
]
"abstract" => array:2 [
"fr" => "Platform businesses operate on a digital core, and their decision-making requires high-dimensional accurate forecast streams at different levels of cross-sectional (e.g., geographical regions) and temporal aggregation (e.g., minutes to days). It also necessitates coherent forecasts across all hierarchy levels to ensure aligned decision-making across different planning units such as pricing, product, controlling, and strategy. Given that platform data streams feature complex characteristics and interdependencies, we introduce a non-linear hierarchical forecast reconciliation method that produces crosstemporal reconciled forecasts in a direct and automated way through popular machine learning methods. The method is sufficiently fast to allow forecast-based high-frequency decision-making that platforms require. We empirically test our framework on unique, large-scale streaming datasets from a leading on-demand delivery platform in Europe and a bicycle-sharing system in New York City."
"en" => "Platform businesses operate on a digital core, and their decision-making requires high-dimensional accurate forecast streams at different levels of cross-sectional (e.g., geographical regions) and temporal aggregation (e.g., minutes to days). It also necessitates coherent forecasts across all hierarchy levels to ensure aligned decision-making across different planning units such as pricing, product, controlling, and strategy. Given that platform data streams feature complex characteristics and interdependencies, we introduce a non-linear hierarchical forecast reconciliation method that produces crosstemporal reconciled forecasts in a direct and automated way through popular machine learning methods. The method is sufficiently fast to allow forecast-based high-frequency decision-making that platforms require. We empirically test our framework on unique, large-scale streaming datasets from a leading on-demand delivery platform in Europe and a bicycle-sharing system in New York City."
]
"authors_fields" => array:2 [
"fr" => "Systèmes d'Information, Data Analytics et Opérations"
"en" => "Information Systems, Data Analytics and Operations"
]
"indexedAt" => "2024-12-21T12:21:50.000Z"
"docTitle" => "Cross-temporal forecast reconciliation at digital platforms with machine learning"
"docSurtitle" => "Articles"
"authorNames" => "<a href="/cv/rombouts-jeroen">ROMBOUTS Jeroen</a>, Ternes Marie, Wilms Ines"
"docDescription" => "<span class="document-property-authors">ROMBOUTS Jeroen, Ternes Marie, Wilms Ines</span><br><span class="document-property-authors_fields">Systèmes d'Information, Data Analytics et Opérations</span> | <span class="document-property-year">2024</span>"
"keywordList" => "<a href="#">Hierarchical time series</a>, <a href="#">Forecast reconciliation</a>, <a href="#">Machine learning</a>, <a href="#">Cross-temporal aggregation</a>, <a href="#">Demand forecasting</a>"
"docPreview" => "<b>Cross-temporal forecast reconciliation at digital platforms with machine learning</b><br><span>2024-06 | Articles </span>"
"docType" => "research"
"publicationLink" => "<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2024.05.008" target="_blank">Cross-temporal forecast reconciliation at digital platforms with machine learning</a>"
]
+lang: "fr"
+"_type": "_doc"
+"_score": 8.630022
+"parent": null
}