Modeling Voter Choice to Predict the Final Outcome of Two-stage Elections

The authors offer a modeling approach to first-round voting behavior, and predict, based on this model, the final outcome a the second stage of an election.

KAMAKURA, W.A., MAZZON, J.A. and DE BRUYN, A. (2006). Modeling Voter Choice to Predict the Final Outcome of Two-stage Elections. International Journal of Forecasting.

Keywords : #Elections-à-deux-tours, #Modélisation-des-votes, #Prédictions-des-résultats-électoraux