Year
2009
Abstract
Corporate managers and policy-makers usually carry out forecasts to figure out the outcome of their decisions and actions. However, if forecasts are only based on present and past, results can be strongly biased! Possible changes and ruptures as well as trends must be incorporated in using «foresight » techniques, also called « future studies ». Two methods often used to form and analyze representations about the future (the scenario method and the vision method are compared in terms of value of the outputs using standard and ad hoc criteria. The application is made in asking international agri-food management researchers to provide their vision about the sector future.
DECLERCK, F., FOURCADET, O. et RICCI, S. (2009). Identifying possible futures in food chains. Dans: 2009 IAMA World Food & Agribusiness Symposium Papers & Presentations. International Food & Agribusiness Management Association (IAMA).