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Journal articles (2019), Journal of International Accounting Research, 18 (3), pp. 1-38

Diversified Firms and Analyst Earnings Forecasts: The Role of Management Guidance at the Segment Level

André Paul, FILIP Andrei , Moldovan Rucsandra

Using a unique, manually collected dataset, we are the first to analyze the role that management guidance at the segment level plays for the financial analyst earnings forecasts of diversified firms. About half of the diversified European firms in the sample provide segment-level guidance (SLG), with considerable variation in precision and disaggregation. We find that (1) analyst earnings forecast errors are smaller, and (2) the magnitude of disagreement between individual forecasts and the average forecast is lower for firms that provide SLG, beyond the effect of group-level guidance. The results hold in matched samples and within-firm analyses around SLG initiation. We further show that the results are stronger in situations characterized by higher information asymmetry, but not in situations characterized by operational complexity. Overall, the results imply that SLG mitigates, to some extent, the difficult task that financial analysts face when valuing diversified companies. Link to the article

ANDRÉ, P., FILIP, A. and MOLDOVAN, R. (2019). Diversified Firms and Analyst Earnings Forecasts: The Role of Management Guidance at the Segment Level. Journal of International Accounting Research, 18(3), pp. 1-38.

Keywords : #management-guidance;-segment-disclosure;-financial-analysts;-analyst-earnings-forecasts;-corporate-diversification